AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, January 21

San Jose Barracuda at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

San Jose Barracuda
3:4
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

SJCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
2.33.0
High danger
07
Chances
710
Shots
2918

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal18
7Scoring chances10
0High-danger chances7
2.28Expected goals2.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–71–40–40.7–1.1
2nd8–53–20–20.8–0.9
3rd10–63–40–10.8–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:09 of the 3rd7:516:07+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Victor Östman
Shots faced
29
Saves
26
Allowed
3
xGA
2.28
GSAx
-0.72
Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
18
Saves
14
Allowed
4
xGA
2.96
GSAx
-1.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:08Tyson Jugnauth (0–1)grade A · rebound · 34 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 5:16Carson Rehkopf (0–2)high · 16 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 19:55Penalty
  • 2nd 0:58Colin White (1–2)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 4:11Penalty
  • 2nd 4:11Penalty
  • 2nd 5:15Oliver Wahlstrom (2–2)low · 7 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 6:53Penalty
  • 2nd 8:55Penalty
  • 2nd 16:38Carson Rehkopf (2–3)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 16:41Penalty
  • 3rd 8:01Carson Rehkopf (2–4)medium · 26 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 3rd 15:12Cam Lund (3–4)medium · 17 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 15:40Penalty