AHLDashboard
‹ Thursday, January 22

Chicago Wolves at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Chicago Wolves
6:7
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

CHICLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
50%50%
xG
4.74.2
High danger
911
Chances
1720
Shots
2830

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal30
17Scoring chances20
9High-danger chances11
4.68Expected goals4.18

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–126–75–41.8–1.5
2nd9–75–61–41.0–1.3
3rd7–105–72–31.3–1.3
OT1–11–01–00.7–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−4−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI40:00 of the 3rd20:0012:40+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
4.18
GSAx
-2.82
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
4.68
GSAx
-1.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:00Owen Sillinger (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 3:28Corson Ceulemans (0–2)medium · 33 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 4:59Evan Vierling (1–2)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 10:28Hunter McKown (1–3)high · 8 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:31Penalty
  • 2nd 2:14Mikael Pyyhtiä (1–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 33 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 6:03Penalty
  • 2nd 10:02Penalty
  • 2nd 13:31Justin Pearson (1–5)low · 40 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 17:14Cal Foote (2–5)medium · rebound · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 18:47Owen Sillinger (2–6)high · 8 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 19:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 2:56Penalty
  • 3rd 4:15Bradly Nadeau (3–6)5v4 · medium · 14 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 6:17Penalty
  • 3rd 6:30Justin Robidas (4–6)5v4 · medium · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 7:58Penalty
  • 3rd 14:54Penalty
  • 3rd 17:43Josiah Slavin (5–6)medium · 20 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 18:19Bradly Nadeau (6–6)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • OT 0:32Jack Williams (6–7)low · 11 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov