Belleville Senators at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Belleville Senators

1:2

Final / OT

Providence Bruins

The sheet

BELPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

40%60%

xG: 2.22.4
High danger: 22
Chances: 78
Shots: 2629

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

PRO above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 70% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal29

7Scoring chances8

2High-danger chances2

2.20Expected goals2.35

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–3	3–2	0–1	0.8–0.4
2nd	11–8	3–3	2–1	1.1–0.7
3rd	4–15	0–2	0–0	0.2–1.0
OT	1–3	1–1	0–0	0.1–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Mads Søgaard

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 27
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.35
GSAx: +0.35

Michael DiPietro

Shots faced: 26
Saves: 25
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.20
GSAx: +1.20

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 15:08Penalty
1st 16:59Keean Washkurak (1–0)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
1st 18:46Penalty
2nd 7:43Penalty
2nd 18:51Penalty
3rd 8:00Penalty
3rd 14:30Matthew Poitras (1–1)low · 38 ft · beat Mads Søgaard
OT 4:10Fabian Lysell (1–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Mads Søgaard