AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 23

Charlotte Checkers at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Charlotte Checkers
8:5
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

CLTLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
81%19%
xG
2.41.8
High danger
30
Chances
78
Shots
2825

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 38% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal25
7Scoring chances8
3High-danger chances0
2.43Expected goals1.84

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–101–21–00.5–0.6
2nd10–63–21–00.9–0.5
3rd12–93–41–01.1–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV212:09 of the 3rd7:515:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Yaniv Perets
Shots faced
25
Saves
19
Allowed
6
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-3.81
Louis Domingue
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
1.84
GSAx
-3.16
Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
3
Saves
1
Allowed
2
xGA
0.25
GSAx
-1.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:54Mikulas Hovorka (1–0)low · 28 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 4:45Nolan Foote (2–0)low · 43 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 6:56Penalty
  • 1st 9:27Christian Kyrou (2–1)low · 36 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 11:50Trevor Carrick (3–1)low · 49 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 1st 13:59Brett Chorske (4–1)high · 10 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 1st 17:36Anthony Richard (4–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 5:32Karsen Dorwart (4–3)medium · 9 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 6:30Robert Mastrosimone (5–3)medium · 27 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 2nd 7:36Penalty
  • 2nd 9:31Karsen Dorwart (5–4)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 9:57Penalty
  • 2nd 12:02Penalty
  • 3rd 5:23Penalty
  • 3rd 5:23Penalty
  • 3rd 8:32Michael Benning (6–4)low · 28 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 3rd 9:01Penalty
  • 3rd 13:18Penalty
  • 3rd 14:56Alexis Gendron (6–5)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 18:37Jack Devine (7–5)empty net · low · 82 ft · beat Yaniv Perets
  • 3rd 19:51Noah Gregor (8–5)empty net · low · 130 ft · beat Yaniv Perets