AHLDashboard
Friday, January 23

Toronto Marlies at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Toronto Marlies
3:4
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

TORSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
3.43.3
High danger
85
Chances
1410
Shots
3239

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal39
14Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances5
3.44Expected goals3.32

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14872311.60.7
2nd91647241.01.9
3rd91431300.90.7
OT0100000.00.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
35
Allowed
4
xGA
3.32
GSAx
-0.68
Shots faced
32
Saves
29
Allowed
3
xGA
3.45
GSAx
+0.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:26Borya Valis (1–0)grade A · rebound · 17 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 7:30Marc-André Gaudet (1–1)low · 59 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 13:30Penalty
  • 1st 15:28Cédric Paré (2–1)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 13:35Penalty
  • 2nd 15:45Benoit-Olivier Groulx (3–1)high · 9 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 16:00Penalty
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 19:10Penalty
  • 3rd 3:51Penalty
  • 3rd 7:51Penalty
  • 3rd 7:51Chris Wagner (3–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 3rd 13:34Penalty
  • 3rd 14:29Matt Luff (3–3)5v4 · low · 35 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • OT 0:43Theo Lindstein (3–4)low · 18 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov