AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 24

Laval Rocket at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Laval Rocket
5:3
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

LAVCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.02.5
High danger
23
Chances
87
Shots
2633

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 36% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal33
8Scoring chances7
2High-danger chances3
2.00Expected goals2.55

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–113–21–00.9–0.8
2nd7–111–21–10.5–0.8
3rd8–114–30–20.6–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.55
GSAx
-0.45
Arsenii Sergeev
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.00
GSAx
-3.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:37Filip Mešár (1–0)low · backhand · 12 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 1:30Penalty
  • 1st 5:32Dryden Hunt (1–1)low · wrist · 42 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 8:34Penalty
  • 1st 9:39David Reinbacher (2–1)4v5 · low · wrist · 52 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 16:11Penalty
  • 2nd 6:41Lucas Ciona (2–2)high · wrist · 9 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 8:47Aydar Suniev (2–3)low · slap · 57 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 11:50Penalty
  • 2nd 11:50Penalty
  • 2nd 14:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:16Penalty
  • 2nd 19:17William Trudeau (3–3)4v5 · low · wrist · 30 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 1:54Adam Engström (4–3)low · wrist · 46 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 4:12Jared Davidson (5–3)medium · wrist · 17 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 3rd 4:51Penalty
  • 3rd 8:37Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 11:28Penalty