AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 24

Charlotte Checkers at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Charlotte Checkers
5:2
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

CLTWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
4.62.6
High danger
92
Chances
189
Shots
4022

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal22
18Scoring chances9
9High-danger chances2
4.56Expected goals2.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–123–42–11.0–1.4
2nd20–311–14–12.3–0.5
3rd12–74–43–01.3–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

WBS−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
WBS30:00 of the 3rd20:0017:54+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Joel Blomqvist
Shots faced
40
Saves
35
Allowed
5
xGA
4.56
GSAx
-0.44
Cooper Black
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
2.63
GSAx
+0.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:10Gabe Klassen (0–1)grade A · tip · rebound · 11 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 19:16MacKenzie Entwistle (1–1)high · 7 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 0:31Ben Steeves (2–1)low · tip · 24 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 12:57Penalty
  • 2nd 14:50Jack Studnicka (3–1)5v4 · high · tip · 11 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 18:45Penalty
  • 2nd 19:57Robert Mastrosimone (4–1)5v4 · high · 26 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 3rd 10:03Aidan McDonough (4–2)medium · 8 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 15:03Penalty
  • 3rd 17:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:09Penalty
  • 3rd 17:09Wilmer Skoog (5–2)empty net · low · wrist · 51 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist