AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 24

Utica Comets at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Utica Comets
3:6
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

UTCSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
54%46%
xG
3.83.4
High danger
55
Chances
179
Shots
3736

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal36
17Scoring chances9
5High-danger chances5
3.81Expected goals3.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–155–32–21.0–1.5
2nd18–126–41–21.6–1.2
3rd10–96–22–11.2–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

UTC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
UTC116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
37
Saves
34
Allowed
3
xGA
3.81
GSAx
+0.81
Nico Daws
Shots faced
36
Saves
30
Allowed
6
xGA
3.40
GSAx
-2.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:40Mitchell Chaffee (0–1)low · 19 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 10:30Penalty
  • 1st 11:19Ethan Gauthier (0–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 14:36Penalty
  • 2nd 3:46Penalty
  • 2nd 5:02Shane Lachance (1–2)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 7:14Matteo Pietroniro (1–3)low · 36 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 9:54Dylan Duke (1–4)high · 18 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 14:41Brian Halonen (2–4)low · 29 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 0:20Brian Halonen (3–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 3:40Penalty
  • 3rd 3:40Penalty
  • 3rd 3:40Penalty
  • 3rd 10:41Penalty
  • 3rd 10:41Penalty
  • 3rd 18:20Brendan Furry (3–5)empty net · high · 7 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 19:42Penalty
  • 3rd 19:42Brendan Furry (3–6)empty net · low · 31 ft · beat Nico Daws