AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 24

Bakersfield Condors at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Bakersfield Condors
3:5
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

BAKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.54.4
High danger
24
Chances
821
Shots
2543

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal43
8Scoring chances21
2High-danger chances4
2.54Expected goals4.36

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–123–51–11.1–1.2
2nd9–193–101–20.9–2.1
3rd8–122–60–10.6–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BAK−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BAK116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Connor Ungar
Shots faced
43
Saves
38
Allowed
5
xGA
4.36
GSAx
-0.64
Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.54
GSAx
-0.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:55Penalty
  • 1st 4:29Penalty
  • 1st 5:28Oliver Wahlstrom (0–1)5v4 · high · 30 ft · beat Connor Ungar
  • 1st 8:15Penalty
  • 1st 9:03Quinn Hutson (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 18:48Damien Carfagna (2–1)low · 39 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 1:53Cam Lund (2–2)medium · 16 ft · beat Connor Ungar
  • 2nd 4:39Penalty
  • 2nd 8:48Josh Brown (3–2)low · 9 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 12:20Penalty
  • 2nd 18:42Penalty
  • 2nd 18:42Penalty
  • 3rd 2:23Jimmy Huntington (3–3)high · 6 ft · beat Connor Ungar
  • 3rd 3:36Penalty
  • 3rd 9:28Penalty
  • 3rd 12:04Penalty
  • 3rd 15:15Colin White (3–4)medium · 10 ft · beat Connor Ungar
  • 3rd 15:40Penalty
  • 3rd 19:40Igor Chernyshov (3–5)empty net · low · 148 ft · beat Connor Ungar