AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 24

San Diego Gulls at Abbotsford Canucks

Rogers Forum · Abbotsford, BC

San Diego Gulls
1:3
Final
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

SDABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
49%51%
xG
2.22.0
High danger
32
Chances
57
Shots
2423

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineSD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal23
5Scoring chances7
3High-danger chances2
2.20Expected goals1.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–102–31–00.5–0.9
2nd10–82–11–01.0–0.5
3rd8–51–31–20.7–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
2.20
GSAx
+1.20
Calle Clang
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.98
GSAx
-1.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:55Penalty
  • 1st 3:43Penalty
  • 1st 10:20Jonathan Lekkerimäki (0–1)low · 42 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 4:59Penalty
  • 2nd 7:02Penalty
  • 2nd 9:52Yegor Sidorov (1–1)low · 16 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 3:28Vilmer Alriksson (1–2)high · 15 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 5:22Penalty
  • 3rd 6:55Penalty
  • 3rd 10:50Penalty
  • 3rd 15:27Penalty
  • 3rd 19:26Arshdeep Bains (1–3)empty net · high · 12 ft · beat Calle Clang