AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, January 25

Toronto Marlies at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Toronto Marlies
3:4
Final / OT
Providence Bruins

The sheet

TORPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
3.34.3
High danger
38
Chances
1312
Shots
3538

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal38
13Scoring chances12
3High-danger chances8
3.25Expected goals4.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17–95–22–11.6–0.7
2nd6–122–50–20.5–1.2
3rd11–145–21–21.1–1.3
OT1–31–30–30.1–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
38
Saves
34
Allowed
4
xGA
4.30
GSAx
+0.30
Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
35
Saves
32
Allowed
3
xGA
3.25
GSAx
+0.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:47Fabian Lysell (0–1)low · 40 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 14:38Vinni Lettieri (1–1)high · 12 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 1st 17:45Penalty
  • 2nd 1:45Penalty
  • 2nd 5:11Matthew Barbolini (2–1)low · rebound · 41 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 7:42Penalty
  • 2nd 13:13Georgii Merkulov (2–2)medium · 10 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 18:00Penalty
  • 2nd 18:00Penalty
  • 2nd 19:30Matthew Poitras (2–3)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 19:37Penalty
  • 3rd 16:11Benoit-Olivier Groulx (3–3)medium · 11 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • OT 0:41Jordan Harris (3–4)grade A · 14 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov