Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch

1:5

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

62%38%

xG: 2.12.2
High danger: 41
Chances: 69
Shots: 2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27

6Scoring chances9

4High-danger chances1

2.09Expected goals2.23

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	15–7	2–1	1–1	0.9–0.6
2nd	8–9	4–2	3–0	1.0–0.7
3rd	4–11	0–6	0–0	0.2–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SYR	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Málek

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 26
Allowed: 1
xGA: 2.09
GSAx: +1.09

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 17
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.42
GSAx: +0.42

Ryan Fanti

Shots faced: 9
Saves: 5
Allowed: 4
xGA: 0.82
GSAx: -3.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:26Penalty
1st 3:40Ethan Edwards (0–1)low · rebound · 53 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
1st 6:54Penalty
1st 6:54Penalty
1st 9:27Nathan Légaré (0–2)low · 29 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
1st 14:46Penalty
1st 14:46Penalty
1st 14:46Penalty
1st 17:37Penalty
1st 17:37Penalty
1st 19:19Penalty
1st 19:19Penalty
1st 19:19Penalty
1st 19:19Penalty
1st 19:19Penalty
1st 19:56Kyle Criscuolo (0–3)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 1:59Angus Crookshank (0–4)4v5 · low · 44 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
2nd 2:25Penalty
2nd 7:07Dylan Duke (1–4)low · 22 ft · beat Jakub Málek
2nd 9:35Penalty
2nd 16:40Jonathan Gruden (1–5)low · 29 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
2nd 18:05Penalty
2nd 18:23Penalty
3rd 3:01Penalty
3rd 11:52Penalty
3rd 18:17Penalty
3rd 18:17Penalty
3rd 18:17Penalty
3rd 18:17Penalty