AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, January 26

Laval Rocket at Calgary Wranglers

Scotiabank Saddledome · Calgary, AB

Laval Rocket
3:6
Final
Calgary Wranglers

The sheet

LAVCGYSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.62.7
High danger
55
Chances
1210
Shots
3626

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CGY above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 36% CGY.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal26
12Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances5
3.55Expected goals2.73

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–143–71–31.0–1.7
2nd17–79–34–22.1–0.8
3rd9–50–00–00.5–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
3.55
GSAx
+0.55
Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
26
Saves
20
Allowed
6
xGA
2.73
GSAx
-3.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:23Nick Cicek (0–1)low · wrist · 51 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 3:55Zayne Parekh (0–2)medium · wrist · 10 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 7:54Penalty
  • 1st 16:44Martin Frk (0–3)low · slap · 49 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 19:43Penalty
  • 2nd 3:41Zayne Parekh (0–4)low · wrist · 24 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 3:53Penalty
  • 2nd 7:41Penalty
  • 2nd 14:43Jared Davidson (1–4)high · backhand · 8 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 16:14Penalty
  • 2nd 16:14Penalty
  • 2nd 16:47Penalty
  • 2nd 16:47Adam Engström (2–4)5v4 · high · wrist · 23 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 16:56Sean Farrell (3–4)5v4 · grade A · 17 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 17:44Penalty
  • 2nd 19:15Dryden Hunt (3–5)5v4 · high · tip · 5 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 18:53Penalty
  • 3rd 18:53Martin Frk (3–6)empty net · low · wrist · 35 ft · beat Jacob Fowler