AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 28

Tucson Roadrunners at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
4:3
Final / SO
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

TUCSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
51%49%
xG
1.82.5
High danger
32
Chances
56
Shots
2633

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal33
5Scoring chances6
3High-danger chances2
1.82Expected goals2.49

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5903020.21.1
2nd61421100.50.7
3rd9922100.50.6
OT6110100.70.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.49
GSAx
-0.51
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
1.82
GSAx
-1.18

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:59Penalty
  • 1st 3:30Ryan Carpenter (0–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 1st 11:02Penalty
  • 1st 13:59Yegor Sidorov (0–2)high · 26 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 2nd 4:21Coulson Pitre (0–3)low · 36 ft · beat Matthew Villalta
  • 2nd 5:22Ty Tullio (1–3)low · 54 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 6:44Penalty
  • 2nd 8:19Max Szuber (2–3)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 10:05Robbie Russo (3–3)low · 39 ft · beat Calle Clang