AHLDashboard
Wednesday, January 28

Bakersfield Condors at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Bakersfield Condors
1:2
Final / OT
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

BAKHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.94.1
High danger
15
Chances
514
Shots
1943

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal43
5Scoring chances14
1High-danger chances5
1.86Expected goals4.07

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st51504000.40.9
2nd81345131.01.7
3rd51214020.31.1
OT1301000.10.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
43
Saves
41
Allowed
2
xGA
4.07
GSAx
+2.07
Shots faced
19
Saves
18
Allowed
1
xGA
1.86
GSAx
+0.86

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:01Penalty
  • 1st 9:13Penalty
  • 1st 9:13Penalty
  • 1st 15:39Penalty
  • 2nd 3:25Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Penalty
  • 2nd 9:04Penalty
  • 2nd 10:04Dylan Coghlan (0–1)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 37 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 17:18Penalty
  • 2nd 18:36Max Jones (1–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 35 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 11:40Penalty
  • OT 4:19Dylan Coghlan (1–2)low · wrist · 16 ft · beat Matt Tomkins