AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 30

Bridgeport Islanders at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Bridgeport Islanders
6:3
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

BRIHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
3.02.1
High danger
43
Chances
106
Shots
2623

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal23
10Scoring chances6
4High-danger chances3
3.01Expected goals2.14

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–73–10–10.7–0.5
2nd16–56–13–12.1–0.5
3rd2–111–41–10.3–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−50:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD50:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Callum Tung
Shots faced
26
Saves
20
Allowed
6
xGA
3.01
GSAx
-2.99
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.14
GSAx
-0.86

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:35Julien Gauthier (1–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 13:27Hunter Drew (2–0)low · 29 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 17:07Penalty
  • 2nd 0:18Penalty
  • 2nd 3:55Penalty
  • 2nd 5:26Hunter Drew (3–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 2nd 6:05Hunter Drew (4–0)low · 33 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 2nd 16:48Matthew Maggio (5–0)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 2nd 18:27Penalty
  • 3rd 3:13Jaroslav Chmelar (5–1)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 7:03Cooper Moore (5–2)medium · 9 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 9:38Penalty
  • 3rd 15:38Daniel Walcott (5–3)low · 26 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 3rd 19:06Liam Foudy (6–3)empty net · high · 12 ft · beat Callum Tung