Chicago Wolves at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Chicago Wolves

5:2

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CHIGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

28%72%

xG: 2.14.2
High danger: 46
Chances: 1015
Shots: 2033

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal33

10Scoring chances15

4High-danger chances6

2.06Expected goals4.17

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–10	2–5	1–1	0.5–1.2
2nd	13–7	6–1	2–0	1.3–0.4
3rd	2–16	2–9	1–5	0.4–2.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
GR	5	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.005 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 33
Saves: 31
Allowed: 2
xGA: 4.17
GSAx: +2.17

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 18
Saves: 13
Allowed: 5
xGA: 1.71
GSAx: -3.29

Michal Postava

Shots faced: 2
Saves: 2
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.35
GSAx: +0.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:25Penalty
1st 4:11Juuso Välimäki (1–0)5v4 · low · 41 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
1st 4:29Skyler Brind’Amour (2–0)medium · 28 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
1st 9:04Penalty
1st 13:36Bradly Nadeau (3–0)high · 19 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 9:36Evan Vierling (4–0)high · 6 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 15:25Penalty
2nd 16:20Ryan Suzuki (5–0)5v4 · medium · 19 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 18:40Penalty
3rd 4:32Eduards Tralmaks (5–1)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
3rd 5:21Penalty
3rd 9:19Penalty
3rd 19:50Amadeus Lombardi (5–2)medium · 25 ft · beat Cayden Primeau