AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 30

Henderson Silver Knights at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Henderson Silver Knights
5:6
Final / OT
Texas Stars

The sheet

HSKTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
28%72%
xG
3.43.6
High danger
28
Chances
1315
Shots
3424

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal24
13Scoring chances15
2High-danger chances8
3.41Expected goals3.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–76–61–31.2–1.2
2nd13–65–30–21.3–0.9
3rd8–62–41–10.7–0.7
OT2–50–20–20.2–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX118:23 of the 3rd1:370:24+0.038 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
30
Saves
28
Allowed
2
xGA
3.00
GSAx
+1.00
Cameron Whitehead
Shots faced
24
Saves
18
Allowed
6
xGA
3.60
GSAx
-2.40
Arno Tiefensee
Shots faced
4
Saves
1
Allowed
3
xGA
0.41
GSAx
-2.59

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:27Jeremy Davies (1–0)low · 38 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 3:03Jackson Hallum (2–0)low · 24 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 4:35Matyas Sapovaliv (3–0)medium · 25 ft · beat Arno Tiefensee
  • 1st 8:17Kyle McDonald (3–1)high · rebound · 35 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 1st 11:31Penalty
  • 2nd 0:09Matthew Seminoff (3–2)high · 22 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 2nd 0:21Penalty
  • 2nd 5:01Penalty
  • 2nd 5:01Penalty
  • 2nd 5:01Penalty
  • 2nd 5:01Penalty
  • 2nd 5:59Luke Krys (3–3)grade A · rebound · 25 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 2nd 8:59Penalty
  • 2nd 8:59Penalty
  • 2nd 8:59Penalty
  • 2nd 19:29Penalty
  • 3rd 1:08Penalty
  • 3rd 3:16Penalty
  • 3rd 4:05Penalty
  • 3rd 4:29Lukas Cormier (4–3)5v4 · high · 20 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 6:03Penalty
  • 3rd 9:59Kyle McDonald (4–4)low · 20 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • 3rd 18:23Kai Uchacz (5–4)low · 29 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 18:47Kole Lind (5–5)medium · 32 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead
  • OT 2:00Penalty
  • OT 3:21Artem Shlaine (5–6)5v4 · grade A · 43 ft · beat Cameron Whitehead