AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, January 30

Calgary Wranglers at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Calgary Wranglers
1:5
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CGYSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
20%80%
xG
2.84.3
High danger
310
Chances
1117
Shots
2342

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 70% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal42
11Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances10
2.77Expected goals4.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–117–51–11.5–1.0
2nd7–203–72–41.0–2.0
3rd5–111–50–50.3–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY37:12 of the 3rd12:4812:48+0.018 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
42
Saves
37
Allowed
5
xGA
4.35
GSAx
-0.65
Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
23
Saves
22
Allowed
1
xGA
2.77
GSAx
+1.77

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:10Penalty
  • 1st 16:19Sam Morton (1–0)grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 18:36Penalty
  • 2nd 4:23Penalty
  • 2nd 7:14Donavan Houle (1–1)low · 14 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 10:17Penalty
  • 2nd 11:48Penalty
  • 2nd 11:48Filip Bystedt (1–2)5v4 · high · 5 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 17:24Penalty
  • 3rd 1:29Penalty
  • 3rd 3:21Anthony Vincent (1–3)4v5 · high · 11 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 5:45Penalty
  • 3rd 7:12Cam Lund (1–4)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 7:27Nolan Allan (1–5)low · 59 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 9:27Penalty
  • 3rd 9:27Penalty
  • 3rd 9:27Penalty
  • 3rd 9:27Penalty
  • 3rd 9:27Penalty