AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 31

Hershey Bears at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Hershey Bears
4:3
Final / OT
Utica Comets

The sheet

HERUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
1.92.8
High danger
34
Chances
89
Shots
1833

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
UTC above the lineHER belowDots are goals. Pre-game 59% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

18Shots on goal33
8Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances4
1.88Expected goals2.83

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–92–30–20.4–1.0
2nd9–143–32–10.8–0.9
3rd3–101–30–10.2–0.9
OT2–02–01–00.4–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Mitch Gibson
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.83
GSAx
-0.17
Nico Daws
Shots faced
18
Saves
14
Allowed
4
xGA
1.88
GSAx
-2.12

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:04Henrik Rybinski (1–0)medium · 27 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 6:27Penalty
  • 1st 13:02Penalty
  • 1st 14:45Penalty
  • 1st 16:08Brian Halonen (1–1)5v4 · low · 49 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
  • 1st 16:46Corey Schueneman (2–1)low · 25 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 7:31Cam Squires (2–2)low · 35 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
  • 2nd 14:27Ethan Edwards (2–3)low · 35 ft · beat Mitch Gibson
  • 2nd 18:51Penalty
  • 2nd 19:06Ivan Miroshnichenko (3–3)5v4 · high · 48 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 1:48Penalty
  • 3rd 1:48Penalty
  • 3rd 1:48Penalty
  • OT 3:42Ivan Miroshnichenko (4–3)grade A · 31 ft · beat Nico Daws