AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, January 31

Belleville Senators at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Belleville Senators
5:6
Final / OT
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

BELCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
2.64.3
High danger
310
Chances
1017
Shots
2528

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 68% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal28
10Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances10
2.57Expected goals4.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–81–30–10.5–0.9
2nd7–122–91–50.5–2.1
3rd13–67–42–31.6–0.8
OT0–20–10–10.0–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL30:00 of the 3rd20:003:41+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Hunter Shepard
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
4.30
GSAx
-1.70
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.57
GSAx
-2.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:42Hunter McKown (0–1)low · 53 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 7:03Mikael Pyyhtiä (0–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 1st 7:35Penalty
  • 1st 15:30Penalty
  • 1st 18:54Penalty
  • 2nd 3:58Penalty
  • 2nd 7:53Penalty
  • 2nd 10:30Hudson Fasching (0–3)high · 18 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 12:21Penalty
  • 2nd 13:12Penalty
  • 2nd 13:12Penalty
  • 2nd 14:40Luca Del Bel Belluz (0–4)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 2nd 14:53Penalty
  • 2nd 15:41Arthur Kaliyev (1–4)5v4 · medium · 29 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 17:14Garrett Pilon (2–4)high · 15 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 2nd 17:52Penalty
  • 2nd 17:52Penalty
  • 2nd 18:38Brendan Gaunce (2–5)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Hunter Shepard
  • 3rd 3:41Carter Yakemchuk (3–5)low · 24 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 5:10Jamieson Rees (4–5)medium · 27 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 6:32Penalty
  • 3rd 12:32Jan Jeník (5–5)low · 17 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 14:50Penalty
  • OT 3:10Dysin Mayo (5–6)grade A · 20 ft · beat Hunter Shepard