AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, February 3

Toronto Marlies at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Toronto Marlies
2:3
Final / SO
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

TORCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
57%43%
xG
3.33.3
High danger
86
Chances
1210
Shots
2433

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal33
12Scoring chances10
8High-danger chances6
3.27Expected goals3.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–61–11–10.6–0.5
2nd5–124–53–40.7–1.4
3rd10–156–44–11.7–1.4
OT3–01–00–00.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Dennis Hildeby
Shots faced
33
Saves
31
Allowed
2
xGA
3.30
GSAx
+1.30
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
24
Saves
22
Allowed
2
xGA
3.27
GSAx
+1.27

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:01Penalty
  • 1st 18:55Jacob Quillan (1–0)high · 12 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 15:03Penalty
  • 3rd 3:18Luke Haymes (2–0)grade A · rebound · 13 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 7:58Luca Del Bel Belluz (2–1)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 13:48Zach Aston-Reese (2–2)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Dennis Hildeby
  • 3rd 14:42Penalty
  • OT 4:47Penalty