AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 4

Providence Bruins at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Providence Bruins
2:1
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

PROBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
53%47%
xG
1.42.5
High danger
21
Chances
68
Shots
1937

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 43% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal37
6Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances1
1.44Expected goals2.53

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–154–11–00.6–0.7
2nd7–121–40–00.4–1.1
3rd6–101–31–10.4–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Michael DiPietro
Shots faced
37
Saves
36
Allowed
1
xGA
2.53
GSAx
+1.53
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
19
Saves
17
Allowed
2
xGA
1.44
GSAx
-0.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:27Penalty
  • 1st 2:27Penalty
  • 1st 16:37Riley Tufte (1–0)medium · 23 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 4:01Penalty
  • 2nd 4:07Christian Wolanin (2–0)5v4 · low · 62 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 12:18Gleb Veremyev (2–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Michael DiPietro
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 15:49Penalty
  • 2nd 16:02Penalty
  • 3rd 9:54Penalty
  • 3rd 14:37Penalty
  • 3rd 14:43Penalty