AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 4

Henderson Silver Knights at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
4:7
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

HSKSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
3.63.8
High danger
510
Chances
1616
Shots
3726

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal26
16Scoring chances16
5High-danger chances10
3.63Expected goals3.79

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–96–61–51.2–1.3
2nd13–94–61–31.0–1.4
3rd12–86–43–21.4–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Calle Clang
Shots faced
37
Saves
33
Allowed
4
xGA
3.63
GSAx
-0.37
Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
26
Saves
19
Allowed
7
xGA
3.78
GSAx
-3.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:37Justin Bailey (0–1)high · 14 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 11:00Penalty
  • 1st 11:09Ryan Carpenter (0–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 14:20Penalty
  • 1st 15:17Mitch McLain (1–2)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 1st 17:17Penalty
  • 1st 19:00Penalty
  • 1st 19:28Penalty
  • 2nd 3:58Yegor Sidorov (1–3)high · rebound · 22 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 4:50Tuomas Uronen (2–3)medium · 10 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 10:44Sasha Pastujov (2–4)grade A · rebound · 19 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 12:23Penalty
  • 2nd 12:23Penalty
  • 2nd 13:02Dylan Coghlan (3–4)high · rebound · 37 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 13:48Raphael Lavoie (4–4)low · 42 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 19:00Penalty
  • 2nd 19:00Penalty
  • 2nd 19:07Penalty
  • 2nd 19:50Penalty
  • 2nd 19:50Penalty
  • 3rd 2:55Matthew Phillips (4–5)low · 22 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 10:00Roland McKeown (4–6)grade A · rebound · 16 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 17:21Noah Warren (4–7)empty net · low · 165 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 17:55Penalty
  • 3rd 17:55Penalty