AHLDashboard
Wednesday, February 4

Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds
1:2
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CVSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
24%76%
xG
3.04.3
High danger
39
Chances
816
Shots
3843

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal43
8Scoring chances16
3High-danger chances9
2.97Expected goals4.26

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st131135111.41.1
2nd101717160.61.9
3rd151544120.91.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
43
Saves
41
Allowed
2
xGA
4.26
GSAx
+2.26
Shots faced
38
Saves
37
Allowed
1
xGA
2.97
GSAx
+1.97

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:20Penalty
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 3:29Jimmy Huntington (0–1)high · 8 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 6:11Jack Thompson (0–2)low · 57 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 16:13Penalty
  • 2nd 18:53Penalty
  • 3rd 0:20Penalty
  • 3rd 11:24Penalty
  • 3rd 18:42Jani Nyman (1–2)low · 46 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit