AHLDashboard
Friday, February 6

Grand Rapids Griffins at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Grand Rapids Griffins
0:3
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

GRCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
29%71%
xG
2.74.3
High danger
35
Chances
821
Shots
2736

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal36
8Scoring chances21
3High-danger chances5
2.67Expected goals4.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st81447211.11.6
2nd121235121.21.3
3rd71019020.41.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
4.30
GSAx
+1.30
Shots faced
27
Saves
27
Allowed
0
xGA
2.67
GSAx
+2.67

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:51Penalty
  • 1st 4:42Penalty
  • 1st 12:11Penalty
  • 1st 12:27Penalty
  • 2nd 3:00Michael Benning (0–1)low · 53 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 2nd 3:40Noah Gregor (0–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 2nd 4:17Wilmer Skoog (0–3)low · 37 ft · beat Michal Postava
  • 2nd 5:14Penalty
  • 2nd 6:45Penalty
  • 2nd 6:45Penalty
  • 2nd 9:24Penalty
  • 2nd 9:24Penalty
  • 2nd 9:24Penalty
  • 2nd 17:06Penalty
  • 3rd 9:22Penalty
  • 3rd 16:39Penalty
  • 3rd 16:39Penalty