AHLDashboard
Saturday, February 7

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
4:3
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

WBSHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
3.42.3
High danger
43
Chances
910
Shots
3823

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal23
9Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances3
3.44Expected goals2.33

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st16935231.41.1
2nd121145201.31.0
3rd8320000.60.2
OT2000000.20.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
38
Saves
34
Allowed
4
xGA
3.44
GSAx
-0.56
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
2.33
GSAx
-0.67

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:43Penalty
  • 1st 2:39Avery Hayes (1–0)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund
  • 1st 5:10Penalty
  • 1st 6:07Avery Hayes (2–0)4v5 · medium · 25 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund
  • 1st 7:57Ilya Protas (2–1)5v4 · medium · 24 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 1st 9:39Penalty
  • 1st 19:18Penalty
  • 2nd 1:12Ivan Miroshnichenko (2–2)5v4 · low · 15 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 3:56Melvin Fernström (3–2)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund
  • 2nd 5:10Alex Suzdalev (3–3)medium · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 2nd 5:50Penalty
  • 2nd 15:51Penalty
  • 2nd 17:36Penalty
  • 3rd 19:48Penalty
  • OT 2:04Avery Hayes (4–3)5v4 · low · 37 ft · beat Garin Bjorklund