AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 7

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:3
Final / OT
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

CVHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
2.52.9
High danger
42
Chances
89
Shots
2936

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal36
8Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances2
2.46Expected goals2.92

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st15–105–22–01.1–0.6
2nd7–101–31–10.6–1.0
3rd6–162–41–10.6–1.3
OT1–00–00–00.1–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:32+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jack LaFontaine
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
2.93
GSAx
-0.07
Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
2.46
GSAx
-1.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:56Penalty
  • 1st 7:56Penalty
  • 1st 15:58Jani Nyman (1–0)high · wrist · 21 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 0:51Ben Hemmerling (1–1)high · wrist · 7 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 3:50Penalty
  • 2nd 8:24Penalty
  • 2nd 13:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:18Penalty
  • 2nd 13:35Logan Morrison (2–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 15:45Logan Morrison (3–1)low · wrist · 21 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 2:15Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34Penalty
  • 3rd 19:23Raphael Lavoie (3–2)high · wrist · 13 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • 3rd 19:41Raphael Lavoie (3–3)low · wrist · 19 ft · beat Jack LaFontaine
  • OT 0:45Penalty
  • OT 1:49Ty Nelson (4–3)5v4 · low · slap · 42 ft · beat Jesper Vikman