AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 7

Chicago Wolves at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

Chicago Wolves
2:6
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

CHICOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
10%90%
xG
1.54.5
High danger
19
Chances
718
Shots
2039

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 66% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal39
7Scoring chances18
1High-danger chances9
1.54Expected goals4.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–161–20–10.4–1.1
2nd8–144–101–50.8–2.1
3rd3–92–60–30.4–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CHI−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CHI40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Amir Miftakhov
Shots faced
39
Saves
33
Allowed
6
xGA
4.47
GSAx
-1.53
Kyle Keyser
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.54
GSAx
-0.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 18:02Penalty
  • 2nd 1:35Alex Barré-Boulet (0–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 2:20Tye Felhaber (0–2)medium · 28 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 3:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:00Penalty
  • 2nd 3:00Penalty
  • 2nd 6:26Taylor Makar (0–3)low · 31 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 12:46Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Penalty
  • 2nd 13:07Danil Gushchin (0–4)5v4 · high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 16:40Wyatt Aamodt (0–5)low · 51 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 2nd 17:05Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Noel Gunler (1–5)5v4 · medium · 38 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 3rd 7:12Juuso Välimäki (2–5)low · 52 ft · beat Kyle Keyser
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 7:44Penalty
  • 3rd 8:11Penalty
  • 3rd 10:00Tristen Nielsen (2–6)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Amir Miftakhov
  • 3rd 13:28Penalty
  • 3rd 17:24Penalty