Syracuse Crunch at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Syracuse Crunch

5:0

Final

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

SYRWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

87%13%

xG: 3.51.3
High danger: 71
Chances: 146
Shots: 2916

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

WBS above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal16

14Scoring chances6

7High-danger chances1

3.50Expected goals1.35

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–9	6–6	4–1	1.6–1.0
2nd	6–3	3–0	2–0	0.7–0.1
3rd	11–4	5–0	1–0	1.2–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
WBS	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 24
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.50
GSAx: -1.50

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 16
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.35
GSAx: +1.35

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:40Penalty
1st 5:43Penalty
1st 8:10Cooper Flinton (1–0)medium · 19 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
1st 19:51Matteo Pietroniro (2–0)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
2nd 8:16Penalty
2nd 8:31Dylan Duke (3–0)5v4 · grade A · tip · 171 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
2nd 18:52Penalty
2nd 18:52Penalty
2nd 18:52Penalty
2nd 19:49Penalty
3rd 0:51Penalty
3rd 1:59Mitchell Chaffee (4–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 20 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
3rd 5:59Cooper Flinton (5–0)medium · 29 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
3rd 11:01Penalty
3rd 13:14Penalty
3rd 19:13Penalty
3rd 19:13Penalty
3rd 19:13Penalty
3rd 19:13Penalty