AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 14

Springfield Thunderbirds at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Springfield Thunderbirds
8:6
Final
Iowa Wild

The sheet

SPRIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
2.84.2
High danger
510
Chances
1515
Shots
2629

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
IA above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal29
15Scoring chances15
5High-danger chances10
2.84Expected goals4.21

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–114–62–30.9–1.9
2nd7–75–32–20.9–0.7
3rd10–116–61–51.0–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

IA−3−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
IA30:00 of the 3rd20:0019:36+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
4.21
GSAx
-1.79
Cal Petersen
Shots faced
16
Saves
10
Allowed
6
xGA
1.83
GSAx
-4.17
William Rousseau
Shots faced
10
Saves
8
Allowed
2
xGA
1.00
GSAx
-1.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:19Penalty
  • 1st 1:20Otto Stenberg (1–0)4v5 · medium · 18 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 3:08Penalty
  • 1st 3:53Tyler Pitlick (1–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 4:26Penalty
  • 1st 6:36Zach Dean (2–1)high · tip · 20 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 9:46Jakub Stancl (3–1)high · 16 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 15:12Tyler Pitlick (3–2)high · 11 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 15:43Thomas Bordeleau (4–2)low · 24 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 1st 19:57Jack Peart (4–3)low · 20 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 0:50Penalty
  • 2nd 1:32Chris Wagner (5–3)5v4 · high · 5 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 1:58Penalty
  • 2nd 4:32Penalty
  • 2nd 9:15Theo Lindstein (6–3)medium · 15 ft · beat Cal Petersen
  • 2nd 18:36Penalty
  • 3rd 0:50Penalty
  • 3rd 2:37Michael Buchinger (7–3)5v4 · medium · 27 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 3rd 7:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:08Penalty
  • 3rd 8:04Dylan Gambrell (7–4)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 7 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 12:47David Jiříček (7–5)low · 64 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 16:32Caedan Bankier (7–6)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 3rd 19:34Matt Luff (8–6)empty net · low · 57 ft · beat William Rousseau