AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 14

Cleveland Monsters at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Cleveland Monsters
5:2
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

CLELVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
52%48%
xG
2.52.4
High danger
22
Chances
98
Shots
2835

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal35
9Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances2
2.50Expected goals2.42

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–150–30–10.3–0.9
2nd14–55–22–11.5–0.5
3rd9–154–30–00.7–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
35
Saves
33
Allowed
2
xGA
2.42
GSAx
+0.42
Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.50
GSAx
-1.50

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:53Will Butcher (1–0)low · 49 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 8:34Oscar Eklind (1–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 18:25Tucker Robertson (1–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 0:15Penalty
  • 2nd 5:09Penalty
  • 2nd 6:36Mikael Pyyhtiä (2–2)5v4 · low · 48 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 7:19Hunter McKown (3–2)low · 26 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 11:22Penalty
  • 2nd 12:45Justin Pearson (4–2)4v5 · medium · 20 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 18:33Penalty
  • 3rd 7:17Penalty
  • 3rd 19:52Brendan Gaunce (5–2)empty net · low · 123 ft