AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, February 15

Henderson Silver Knights at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Henderson Silver Knights
4:8
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

HSKSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
33%67%
xG
2.83.9
High danger
55
Chances
810
Shots
3239

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineHSK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal39
8Scoring chances10
5High-danger chances5
2.79Expected goals3.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–141–31–00.6–1.0
2nd11–174–53–41.3–2.1
3rd12–83–21–10.9–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK36:23 of the 3rd13:3713:37+0.019 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
39
Saves
31
Allowed
8
xGA
3.89
GSAx
-4.11
Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
2.79
GSAx
-1.21

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:07Lucas Carlsson (0–1)low · 52 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 4:47Penalty
  • 1st 7:44Penalty
  • 1st 9:29Matyas Sapovaliv (1–1)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 11:39Penalty
  • 2nd 1:31Lukas Cormier (2–1)low · 50 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 6:40Penalty
  • 2nd 6:45Oliver Wahlstrom (2–2)5v4 · grade A · 9 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 7:30Ben Hemmerling (3–2)high · 14 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 10:40Kasper Halttunen (3–3)high · 11 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 11:42Kasper Halttunen (3–4)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 13:13Ben Hemmerling (4–4)low · 35 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 17:55Quentin Musty (4–5)low · 23 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 18:35Oliver Wahlstrom (4–6)low · 29 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 6:23Egor Afanasyev (4–7)medium · 19 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 12:52Penalty
  • 3rd 12:52Penalty
  • 3rd 14:26Penalty
  • 3rd 14:45Kasper Halttunen (4–8)5v4 · high · 28 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 3rd 16:20Penalty