AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, February 16

Hartford Wolf Pack at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Hartford Wolf Pack
0:9
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

HFDCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
9%91%
xG
1.74.3
High danger
03
Chances
720
Shots
2033

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal33
7Scoring chances20
0High-danger chances3
1.67Expected goals4.26

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–112–60–10.5–1.2
2nd8–63–40–00.8–0.8
3rd5–162–100–20.4–2.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−60:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD60:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Spencer Martin
Shots faced
33
Saves
24
Allowed
9
xGA
4.26
GSAx
-4.74
Kirill Gerasimyuk
Shots faced
20
Saves
20
Allowed
0
xGA
1.67
GSAx
+1.67

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 15:04Marek Alscher (0–1)low · 37 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 16:07Brian Pinho (0–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 1st 17:36Noah Gregor (0–3)medium · 23 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 2nd 1:37Penalty
  • 2nd 3:41Penalty
  • 2nd 5:38Penalty
  • 2nd 10:27Mitchell Vande Sompel (0–4)low · 32 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 10:56Ben Steeves (0–5)medium · 13 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 11:07Penalty
  • 2nd 16:23Michael Benning (0–6)medium · 12 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 7:57Penalty
  • 3rd 7:57Penalty
  • 3rd 8:08Jack Devine (0–7)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 10:20Hunter St. Martin (0–8)5v4 · medium · 16 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 10:39Penalty
  • 3rd 10:39Penalty
  • 3rd 10:39Penalty
  • 3rd 11:52Ben Steeves (0–9)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 3rd 12:39Penalty
  • 3rd 12:39Penalty