AHLDashboard
‹ Monday, February 16

Calgary Wranglers at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Calgary Wranglers
3:2
Final / SO
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

CGYMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
86%14%
xG
3.71.7
High danger
61
Chances
146
Shots
4027

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 63% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

40Shots on goal27
14Scoring chances6
6High-danger chances1
3.73Expected goals1.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–92–20–10.5–0.7
2nd16–87–34–01.7–0.5
3rd16–85–12–01.5–0.3
OT0–20–00–00.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Domenic DiVincentiis
Shots faced
40
Saves
38
Allowed
2
xGA
3.73
GSAx
+1.73
Arsenii Sergeev
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
1.66
GSAx
-0.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:27Penalty
  • 1st 13:37Ville Heinola (0–1)low · 60 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 2nd 13:09David Gustafsson (0–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Arsenii Sergeev
  • 2nd 15:12Penalty
  • 2nd 16:55Rory Kerins (1–2)5v4 · medium · 30 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • 3rd 1:10Penalty
  • 3rd 9:18Penalty
  • 3rd 15:41Rory Kerins (2–2)high · rebound · 11 ft · beat Domenic DiVincentiis
  • OT 4:54Penalty