Cleveland Monsters at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Cleveland Monsters

2:3

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CLEGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

16%84%

xG: 1.52.6
High danger: 15
Chances: 510
Shots: 2425

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal25

5Scoring chances10

1High-danger chances5

1.50Expected goals2.63

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–6	2–4	1–3	0.7–0.8
2nd	6–12	0–3	0–1	0.2–1.1
3rd	9–7	3–3	0–1	0.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 25
Saves: 22
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.63
GSAx: -0.37

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 22
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.49
GSAx: -0.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:02Dominik Shine (0–1)grade A · 4 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 10:30Penalty
1st 10:41Owen Sillinger (1–1)5v4 · high · 6 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
1st 11:49Sheldon Dries (1–2)high · 6 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
1st 18:31Penalty
2nd 4:00Penalty
2nd 7:01Penalty
2nd 16:52Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (1–3)low · 45 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 20:00Penalty
3rd 4:07Brendan Gaunce (2–3)low · 35 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa