Charlotte Checkers at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Charlotte Checkers

3:2

Final / SO

Rochester Americans

The sheet

CLTROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

40%60%

xG: 2.72.8
High danger: 56
Chances: 711
Shots: 3132

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

ROC above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 38% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal32

7Scoring chances11

5High-danger chances6

2.68Expected goals2.79

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	12–12	4–3	3–2	1.3–1.1
2nd	5–15	1–4	1–2	0.5–1.0
3rd	10–5	2–4	1–2	0.7–0.7
OT	4–0	0–0	0–0	0.2–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Cooper Black

Shots faced: 32
Saves: 30
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.79
GSAx: +0.79

Devon Levi

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 29
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.68
GSAx: +0.68

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:35Penalty
1st 6:40Penalty
1st 18:15MacKenzie Entwistle (1–0)high · 7 ft · beat Devon Levi
2nd 1:41Penalty
2nd 5:02Nate Smith (2–0)grade A · 5 ft · beat Devon Levi
2nd 16:46Penalty
2nd 19:48Jake Leschyshyn (2–1)high · 17 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 2:37Matteo Costantini (2–2)high · 14 ft · beat Cooper Black
3rd 15:41Penalty