AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, February 18

San Jose Barracuda at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

San Jose Barracuda
4:3
Final / SO
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

SJSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
2.24.7
High danger
06
Chances
818
Shots
3039

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 48% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal39
8Scoring chances18
0High-danger chances6
2.19Expected goals4.73

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–122–40–10.7–1.0
2nd7–103–30–00.7–0.9
3rd6–113–80–50.5–2.3
OT3–60–30–00.2–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SD−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SD116:56 of the 3rd3:042:59+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
39
Saves
36
Allowed
3
xGA
4.73
GSAx
+1.73
Calle Clang
Shots faced
30
Saves
27
Allowed
3
xGA
2.19
GSAx
-0.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:59Roland McKeown (0–1)low · 39 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 15:14Justin Bailey (0–2)high · 10 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 16:12Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 1st 18:41Penalty
  • 1st 19:37Penalty
  • 2nd 1:38Jimmy Huntington (1–2)low · 36 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 7:56Penalty
  • 2nd 8:40Oliver Wahlstrom (2–2)5v4 · medium · 21 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 2nd 9:40Penalty
  • 2nd 9:40Penalty
  • 2nd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 8:42Luca Cagnoni (3–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • 3rd 10:36Penalty
  • 3rd 19:55Ryan Carpenter (3–3)grade A · 12 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • OT 1:36Penalty
  • OT 3:34Penalty