Iowa Wild at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Iowa Wild

0:2

Final

Chicago Wolves

The sheet

IACHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

29%71%

xG: 1.32.0
High danger: 22
Chances: 38
Shots: 1622

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

CHI above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal22

3Scoring chances8

2High-danger chances2

1.34Expected goals1.97

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–10	0–2	0–0	0.5–0.7
2nd	3–9	2–6	1–2	0.4–1.2
3rd	4–3	1–0	1–0	0.4–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

William Rousseau

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 20
Allowed: 2
xGA: 1.97
GSAx: -0.03

Cayden Primeau

Shots faced: 16
Saves: 16
Allowed: 0
xGA: 1.34
GSAx: +1.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:56Penalty
1st 2:56Penalty
1st 6:00Viktor Neuchev (0–1)medium · 23 ft · beat William Rousseau
1st 10:26Penalty
1st 19:28Penalty
2nd 5:20Penalty
2nd 7:46Penalty
2nd 10:51Penalty
2nd 17:38Aleksi Heimosalmi (0–2)low · 42 ft · beat William Rousseau
3rd 2:30Penalty
3rd 4:33Penalty
3rd 9:18Penalty