AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 21

Iowa Wild at Manitoba Moose

Canada Life Centre · Winnipeg, MB

Iowa Wild
3:2
Final / OT
Manitoba Moose

The sheet

IAMBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
3.32.6
High danger
44
Chances
1010
Shots
3627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
MB above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% MB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal27
10Scoring chances10
4High-danger chances4
3.25Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st13–96–23–01.6–0.6
2nd9–91–30–10.5–0.7
3rd11–93–51–30.9–1.3
OT3–00–00–00.3–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Thomas Milic
Shots faced
36
Saves
33
Allowed
3
xGA
3.25
GSAx
+0.25
William Rousseau
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.60
GSAx
+0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:04Penalty
  • 1st 9:24Riley Heidt (1–0)grade A · rebound · 6 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 1st 13:52Penalty
  • 1st 15:16Isaak Phillips (1–1)4v5 · low · 21 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 1st 17:19Danny Zhilkin (1–2)low · 9 ft · beat William Rousseau
  • 3rd 4:26Tyler Pitlick (2–2)high · 9 ft · beat Thomas Milic
  • 3rd 6:48Penalty
  • 3rd 9:45Penalty
  • OT 1:55Carson Lambos (3–2)low · 18 ft · beat Thomas Milic