Laval Rocket at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Laval Rocket

1:3

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

LAVUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

70%30%

xG: 3.32.1
High danger: 76
Chances: 1410
Shots: 3014

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal14

14Scoring chances10

7High-danger chances6

3.32Expected goals2.11

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	10–3	3–2	3–2	0.9–0.5
2nd	9–4	4–3	2–0	1.1–0.5
3rd	11–7	7–5	2–4	1.4–1.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 29
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.32
GSAx: +2.32

Kaapo Kähkönen

Shots faced: 14
Saves: 11
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.11
GSAx: -0.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 3:46Penalty
1st 4:01Penalty
1st 9:10Penalty
1st 14:25Penalty
1st 14:41Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
1st 20:00Penalty
2nd 8:41Penalty
2nd 14:54Penalty
2nd 17:56Penalty
2nd 17:56Penalty
2nd 17:56Penalty
2nd 17:56Penalty
2nd 17:56Penalty
2nd 19:30Angus Crookshank (0–1)5v4 · medium · 58 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 3:41Penalty
3rd 4:07Kyle Criscuolo (0–2)5v4 · high · 7 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 4:41Penalty
3rd 10:56Penalty
3rd 12:51Mike Hardman (0–3)5v4 · medium · 20 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
3rd 16:23Penalty
3rd 17:44Alex Belzile (1–3)5v4 · medium · 14 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 20:00Penalty