Milwaukee Admirals at Iowa Wild

Casey’s Center · Des Moines, IA

Milwaukee Admirals

1:2

Final / OT

Iowa Wild

The sheet

MILIASolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

23%77%

xG: 1.62.5
High danger: 14
Chances: 68
Shots: 2228

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

IA above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% IA.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal28

6Scoring chances8

1High-danger chances4

1.60Expected goals2.54

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	9–9	4–4	0–3	0.7–1.1
2nd	7–7	2–1	1–0	0.7–0.6
3rd	6–11	0–3	0–1	0.2–0.8
OT	0–1	0–0	0–0	0.0–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

T.J. Semptimphelter

Shots faced: 28
Saves: 26
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.54
GSAx: +0.54

Cal Petersen

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 21
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.60
GSAx: +0.60

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:19Oskar Olausson (0–1)high · 6 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter
1st 6:19Penalty
1st 8:47Penalty
1st 19:29Reid Schaefer (1–1)medium · 32 ft · beat Cal Petersen
2nd 4:02Penalty
2nd 6:48Penalty
2nd 10:29Penalty
2nd 18:09Penalty
3rd 8:49Penalty
OT 1:27Carson Lambos (1–2)low · 24 ft · beat T.J. Semptimphelter