AHLDashboard
Wednesday, February 25

Tucson Roadrunners at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
2:1
Final / OT
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

TUCSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
2.31.9
High danger
33
Chances
86
Shots
2824

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal24
8Scoring chances6
3High-danger chances3
2.30Expected goals1.89

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st51122010.50.8
2nd9523110.70.6
3rd13841211.10.5
OT1000000.10.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
2.30
GSAx
+0.30
Shots faced
24
Saves
23
Allowed
1
xGA
1.89
GSAx
+0.89

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:34Penalty
  • 1st 6:43Penalty
  • 2nd 4:51Ryan Carpenter (0–1)high · 15 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 8:00Penalty
  • 2nd 17:39Penalty
  • 2nd 17:39Penalty
  • 3rd 11:24Penalty
  • 3rd 16:26Michal Kunc (1–1)high · 22 ft · beat Calle Clang
  • OT 1:13Scott Perunovich (2–1)low · 34 ft · beat Calle Clang