AHLDashboard
Friday, February 27

Charlotte Checkers at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Charlotte Checkers
3:2
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

CLTSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
60%40%
xG
3.42.4
High danger
44
Chances
1112
Shots
4627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 41% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

46Shots on goal27
11Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances4
3.38Expected goals2.43

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st181435111.31.1
2nd12765321.10.9
3rd14421010.90.2
OT2201000.10.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
46
Saves
43
Allowed
3
xGA
3.38
GSAx
+0.38
Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.43
GSAx
+0.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:47Zach Dean (0–1)medium · 22 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 1st 6:37Penalty
  • 1st 18:10Penalty
  • 1st 18:45Penalty
  • 2nd 3:25Mikulas Hovorka (1–1)low · 16 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 5:01Penalty
  • 2nd 11:16Penalty
  • 2nd 12:55Penalty
  • 2nd 13:24Thomas Bordeleau (1–2)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 15:22Penalty
  • 2nd 17:23Penalty
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 14:10Nate Smith (2–2)medium · 30 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 14:43Penalty
  • 3rd 16:17Penalty
  • OT 2:13Eamon Powell (3–2)low · 30 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko