AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, February 27

Laval Rocket at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Laval Rocket
9:3
Final
Rochester Americans

The sheet

LAVROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
3.02.1
High danger
64
Chances
86
Shots
3627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal27
8Scoring chances6
6High-danger chances4
3.00Expected goals2.11

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–92–00–00.6–0.3
2nd16–84–44–31.7–1.1
3rd8–102–22–10.7–0.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC30:11 of the 3rd19:4919:49+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
29
Saves
23
Allowed
6
xGA
2.41
GSAx
-3.59
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.11
GSAx
-0.89
Cameron Rowe
Shots faced
7
Saves
4
Allowed
3
xGA
0.60
GSAx
-2.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:42Penalty
  • 1st 11:10Penalty
  • 1st 13:43Penalty
  • 1st 16:26Tobie Bisson (1–0)low · 45 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 19:53Penalty
  • 2nd 2:18Mason Geertsen (1–1)high · 7 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 2:26Joshua Roy (2–1)grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 7:19Penalty
  • 2nd 8:24Riley Fiddler-Schultz (2–2)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 8:38Vincent Arseneau (3–2)low · 16 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 10:40Trevor Kuntar (3–3)low · 27 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 11:51Penalty
  • 2nd 13:23Samuel Blais (4–3)5v4 · high · 5 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 15:26Samuel Blais (5–3)low · 34 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 17:52Penalty
  • 3rd 0:11Alex Belzile (6–3)low · 32 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Penalty
  • 3rd 4:47Filip Mešár (7–3)high · 21 ft · beat Cameron Rowe
  • 3rd 9:59Owen Beck (8–3)low · 48 ft · beat Cameron Rowe
  • 3rd 15:04Will Dineen (9–3)high · 15 ft · beat Cameron Rowe