AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 28

Chicago Wolves at Toronto Marlies

Coca-Cola Coliseum · Toronto, ON

Chicago Wolves
5:4
Final / SO
Toronto Marlies

The sheet

CHITORSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
80%20%
xG
3.11.5
High danger
32
Chances
95
Shots
3616

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TOR above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% TOR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal16
9Scoring chances5
3High-danger chances2
3.07Expected goals1.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–64–22–01.1–0.5
2nd10–83–31–20.8–0.9
3rd11–11–00–00.8–0.1
OT4–11–00–00.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Artur Akhtyamov
Shots faced
36
Saves
32
Allowed
4
xGA
3.07
GSAx
-0.93
Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
16
Saves
12
Allowed
4
xGA
1.54
GSAx
-2.46

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:51Matthew Barbolini (0–1)medium · 14 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 4:04Ronan Seeley (1–1)low · 44 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 7:01Bradly Nadeau (2–1)medium · 25 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 1st 7:14Penalty
  • 1st 8:32Benoit-Olivier Groulx (2–2)4v5 · low · 34 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 1st 9:36Penalty
  • 1st 17:33Justin Robidas (3–2)medium · 24 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 0:54Penalty
  • 2nd 2:11Ryan Tverberg (3–3)4v5 · high · 18 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 3:28Penalty
  • 2nd 6:02Ryan Suzuki (4–3)medium · 25 ft · beat Artur Akhtyamov
  • 2nd 11:18Noah Chadwick (4–4)medium · 27 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 15:05Penalty
  • 3rd 7:09Penalty
  • 3rd 14:03Penalty