AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 28

Laval Rocket at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Laval Rocket
4:6
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

LAVSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
34%66%
xG
3.12.9
High danger
27
Chances
1413
Shots
3519

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal19
14Scoring chances13
2High-danger chances7
3.14Expected goals2.91

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–64–21–00.7–0.5
2nd10–107–81–51.2–1.8
3rd17–33–30–21.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−3−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV30:00 of the 3rd20:0017:59+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
35
Saves
31
Allowed
4
xGA
3.14
GSAx
-0.86
Hunter Jones
Shots faced
19
Saves
13
Allowed
6
xGA
2.91
GSAx
-3.09

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:25Dylan Duke (0–1)low · 50 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 1st 5:52Alex Belzile (1–1)low · 38 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 9:05Penalty
  • 1st 11:49Dylan Duke (1–2)medium · 34 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 1st 19:11Mitchell Chaffee (1–3)low · 29 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 1:08Samuel Blais (2–3)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 3:24Penalty
  • 2nd 6:17Penalty
  • 2nd 6:43Brendan Furry (2–4)4v5 · high · 12 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 2nd 11:10Ethan Samson (2–5)high · rebound · 15 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 2nd 12:25Penalty
  • 3rd 1:09Penalty
  • 3rd 5:00Owen Beck (3–5)low · 49 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 6:31Ethan Gauthier (3–6)medium · 25 ft · beat Hunter Jones
  • 3rd 9:18Penalty
  • 3rd 9:18Penalty
  • 3rd 10:34Penalty
  • 3rd 11:39Joshua Roy (4–6)5v4 · medium · 41 ft · beat Brandon Halverson