AHLDashboard
Saturday, February 28

Hartford Wolf Pack at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Hartford Wolf Pack
5:4
Final / SO
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

HFDLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
59%41%
xG
2.22.0
High danger
11
Chances
75
Shots
2730

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal30
7Scoring chances5
1High-danger chances1
2.15Expected goals1.98

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st121513010.91.0
2nd9842000.80.7
3rd4610000.20.2
OT2110100.20.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
1.74
GSAx
-1.26
Shots faced
27
Saves
23
Allowed
4
xGA
2.15
GSAx
-1.85
Shots faced
3
Saves
2
Allowed
1
xGA
0.24
GSAx
-0.76

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:21Penalty
  • 1st 4:47Devin Kaplan (0–1)high · 13 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 1st 5:33Lane Pederson (0–2)medium · 23 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 6:32Penalty
  • 1st 10:13Connor Mackey (1–2)low · 57 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 10:40Adam Sýkora (2–2)medium · 18 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 2:05Phil Tomasino (2–3)low · 44 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 11:35Oscar Eklind (2–4)medium · 11 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 12:35Penalty
  • 2nd 17:48Juuso Pärssinen (3–4)medium · 17 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 18:23Penalty
  • 2nd 18:56Penalty
  • 2nd 19:40Brennan Othmann (4–4)medium · 33 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 3:00Penalty
  • 3rd 8:03Penalty
  • 3rd 16:33Penalty
  • OT 5:00Penalty