AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, February 28

Tucson Roadrunners at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Tucson Roadrunners
3:5
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

TUCSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
3.13.9
High danger
75
Chances
1511
Shots
3441

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineTUC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal41
15Scoring chances11
7High-danger chances5
3.12Expected goals3.88

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–155–22–10.9–1.0
2nd8–127–44–21.2–1.5
3rd17–143–51–21.0–1.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TUC−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TUC116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Laurent Brossoit
Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
3.12
GSAx
+0.12
Jaxson Stauber
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.86
GSAx
-2.14
Matthew Villalta
Shots faced
15
Saves
15
Allowed
0
xGA
1.02
GSAx
+1.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:53Jack Ricketts (1–0)medium · 16 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 1st 7:03Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Penalty
  • 1st 18:22Dmitri Simashev (2–0)5v4 · medium · 17 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 0:15Donavan Houle (2–1)high · 20 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 5:14Penalty
  • 2nd 5:53Penalty
  • 2nd 6:14Andrew Agozzino (3–1)high · 10 ft · beat Laurent Brossoit
  • 2nd 9:33Penalty
  • 2nd 10:23Penalty
  • 2nd 14:33Filip Bystedt (3–2)medium · 26 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 15:37Penalty
  • 2nd 17:14Mattias Havelid (3–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 2nd 19:08Filip Bystedt (3–4)low · 32 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber
  • 3rd 3:16Penalty
  • 3rd 3:16Penalty
  • 3rd 8:16Penalty
  • 3rd 19:29Donavan Houle (3–5)empty net · medium · 12 ft · beat Jaxson Stauber