AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, March 1

Rochester Americans at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Rochester Americans
1:3
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

ROCSYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.32.6
High danger
23
Chances
710
Shots
2128

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal28
7Scoring chances10
2High-danger chances3
2.32Expected goals2.56

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–132–60–10.7–1.3
2nd3–82–40–20.4–1.0
3rd9–73–02–01.2–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ROC−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ROC30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Devon Levi
Shots faced
28
Saves
25
Allowed
3
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-0.44
Ryan Fanti
Shots faced
21
Saves
20
Allowed
1
xGA
2.32
GSAx
+1.32

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 9:46Penalty
  • 1st 9:46Penalty
  • 1st 10:14Penalty
  • 1st 11:37Conor Geekie (0–1)5v4 · medium · 23 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 13:15Penalty
  • 1st 20:00Penalty
  • 2nd 4:22Brendan Furry (0–2)low · 37 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 5:15Penalty
  • 2nd 10:14Penalty
  • 2nd 17:29Penalty
  • 2nd 18:37Jakob Pelletier (0–3)4v5 · high · 11 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 18:49Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 4:59Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:48Penalty
  • 3rd 16:57Riley Fiddler-Schultz (1–3)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ryan Fanti
  • 3rd 18:08Penalty